Setting the scene Introduction / Gabriele Bammer and Michael Smithson The many faces and masks of uncertainty / Michael Smithson Adopting orphans : uncertainty and other neglected aspects of complex problems / Gabriele Bammer More than a cabinet of curiosities : disciplinary and practice perspectives on uncertainty When action can't wait : investigating infectious disease outbreaks / Aileen J. Plant Uncertainty and religion : ten provisional theses / Stephen Pickard Uncertainty in the physical sciences : how big? how small? is it actually there at all? / Stephen J. Buckman Statistics : an essential tool for model citizens / Robyn G. Attewell A philosopher's guide to probability / Alan Hajek Musical improvisation, creativity and uncertainty / John Mackey Uncertainty as a creative force in visual art / Sasha Grishin Historians and disputes over uncertainty / Ann Curthoys Approaches to uncertain futures / Kate Delaney Embracing social uncertainties with complex systems science / Pascal Perez Heroin : injected with uncertainty / Alison Ritter Political practice : uncertainty, ethics and outcomes / Michael Moore Smoke and mirrors : managing uncertainty in the public health sector / Liz Furler Economists and uncertainty / John Quiggin Psychology's ambivalent view of uncertainty / Michael Smithson Uncertainty in decision-making : intelligence as a solution / Steve Longford Emergency management thrives on uncertainty / John Handmer Uncertainty, complexity and environment / Stephen Dovers. [et al.] Uncertainty, terrorism and law enforcement / Michael McFadden, Rod Lyon and Roy Pinsker Certainty as illusion : the nature and purpose of uncertainty in the law / Judith S. Jones Unifying diversity The nature of uncertainty / Gabriele Bammer, Michael Smithson and the Goolabri Group Uncertainty metaphors, motives and morals / Michael Smithson, Gabriele Bammer and the Goolabri Group Coping and managing under uncertainty / Michael Smithson, Gabriele Bammer and the Goolabri Group Implications for risk assessment and management Coping with deep uncertainty : challenges for environmental assessment and decision-making / Roger E. Kasperson Risk, uncertainty and social controversy : from risk perception and communication to public engagement / Nick Pidgeon.